Statistics-based national election outlet FiveThirtyEight recently analyzed Arizona’s new congressional maps that resulted from the 2021 redistricting process.
The outlet’s projections show a shift toward Republican representatives.
Arizona’s new 6th District is currently represented by Ann Kirkpatrick, a Democrat who will not seek reelection.
FiveThirtyEight’s projections show that the district shifted from a toss-up district to one with a Republican advantage.
Arizona’s new 4th District, currently represented by Greg Stanton, a Democrat, also shifted from a Democratic-leaning seat to a highly competitive district according to projections.
FiveThirtyEight’s new totals list two Democratic-leaning seats, six Republican-leaning, and one highly competitive district.
This is a change from the previous maps, adding one Republican-leaning seat and losing one Democratic-leaning seat.
