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It's been a weak monsoon season in the Valley, but more storms could be on the way

camelback monsoon
Katherine Davis-Young/KJZZ
Monsoon clouds hang over Camelback Mountain.

Monsoon storms brought a little bit of precipitation to the Valley this week. But, conditions remain abnormally dry for this time of year.

National Weather Service meteorologist Isaac Smith said since the start of monsoon season on June 15, Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport has had only about 0.2 inches of rain.

“So it’s really not much rainfall at all for us around here. Our normal rainfall up to this point would actually be about 1.57 inches in Phoenix, so we are well below normal for the current monsoon season,” Smith said.

Smith said the next few days could add to Phoenix’s rainfall totals.

“We’re going to have plenty of rain chances through the next week,” Smith said. “It looks like those chances start to ramp up more as we head into the first part of next week, climbing upwards of 40% to 50%.”

Gabriel Lojera is a meteorologist with the agency in Phoenix.

“It’s looking like, more likely, that it’s gonna be on Monday and Tuesday. Those are gonna be the best days for the best chances for thunderstorm activity here in the Phoenix area," he said.

Lojera says temperatures will still remain high in the lower 100s for the week.

The U.S. Drought Monitor shows drought conditions have improved just slightly in Maricopa County this monsoon season, but the whole county remains in a severe or extreme drought.

Phoenix forecast

Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 109. East northeast wind around 5 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. At night, a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 88. West wind around 5 mph.

Monday
A 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11 a m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 107. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the morning. At night, a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 86. West southwest wind around 5 mph.

Tuesday
A 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 99. South southwest wind around 5 mph becoming west in the afternoon. At night, 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 81. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday
A 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 99. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. At night, a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11 p.m. Partly cloudy, with a low around 83. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

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Katherine Davis-Young is a senior field correspondent reporting on a variety of issues, including public health and climate change.
Ignacio Ventura is a reporter for KJZZ. He graduated from the University of Southern California with a bachelor’s degree in creative writing and a minor in news media and society.